Mike the Strike's Parowan Forecast

Updated Monday, January 24, 2005

 

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Arizona Soaring Association

Mike the Strike's Parowan Thursday - Saturday Analysis

Friday Forecast

Plenty of moisture remains to fire up afternoon showers again, so expect a repeat of Thursday.  Indications are that conditions might be a tad better south than north,  if you have a choice.

Saturday Forecast

Current forecasts are predicting a drier outlook in southern Utah on Saturday and the ETA Blipmaps look very promising.  There'll still be enough moisture for cumulus, but a slightly lower probability of overdevelopment.  Showers will be a around - just further apart.  

Latest Forecast Map

12-Hour Forecast Map

24-Hour Forecast Map

36-Hour Forecast Map

48-Hour Forecast Map

National Weather Service Summary

..SYNOPSIS...

WARM HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER THE GREAT BASIN INTO NEXT WEEK. THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT MOIST AND UNSTABLE THROUGH SATURDAY WITH SLOW DRYING STARTING SUNDAY. && .

DISCUSSION...

CONVECTION IS DECREASING THIS EVENING AS SURFACE HEATING ENDS. EXPECT MOST CONVECTION TO END BEFORE MIDNIGHT. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF DYNAMICS TO TALK ABOUT EXCEPT A MINOR SHORTWAVE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NEVADA NORTH INTO IDAHO...PICKED UP IN 700 MB ANALYSIS...IS MOVING SLOWLY TO THE EAST. THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS APPEAR TO BE MORE PERSISTENT NEAR THIS FEATURE AND MAY LAST SOMEWHAT LONGER BUT STILL EXPECT SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. FORECAST FOR FRIDAY IS MUCH THE SAME AS TODAY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE PATTERS EXPECTED OVER OUR FORECAST AREA. AFTERNOON ZONES LOOK OK SO NOT UPDATED.